Election 2020: A Special Analysis of the Election Outlook
3 HEAVYWEIGHT POLITICAL CONSULTANTS
1 CRITICAL ELECTION
CFA Society Los Angeles has landed three top experts on U.S. politics and elections to give our members and friends a private conversation offering key insights into the 2020 election (as a participant, you will also have the opportunity to submit questions for Q&A). In addition, this will be a preview event for our 2021 PORTFOLIO Conference. The 2020 election matters to clients, partners, and your own portfolio. If you miss any events this year, make sure it is *not* this one, because this talk will prepare you for the fall campaign in a way that few other events can.
Jane Wells | Jane Wells is an award-winning broadcast journalist with over 30 years experience in the news media. She’s covered everything from earthquakes to riots, from the O.J. Simpson trial to Mother Teresa’s funeral, from the massacre at Columbine to the 2008 financial collapse. She has questioned CEOs about poor business decisions, driven a bulldozer on live television, posed as a prostitute for a story on AIDS, appeared in the “Seinfeld” finale, and even got a hangover—on purpose—to test out the best cures.
Wells has won a Peabody and DuPont award for her part in KTTV’s live coverage of the Rodney King trial, along with several local news Emmys. In 2000, she transitioned from a career in general news to covering business and the markets for CNBC.
These days Jane remains a CNBC Special Correspondent, where she works on breaking news and special on-air stories. She is also the reporter for CNBC.com’s “Strange Success” franchise, and she regularly fills in at KFIAM640, the highest rated talk radio station in the west. In her free time, she produces story-telling promotional videos for non-profits like the Salvation Army. Back To Top ^^
James Carville | James “The Ragin’ Cajun” Carville is America’s best-known political consultant. His long list of electoral successes evidences a knack for steering overlooked campaigns to unexpected landslide victories and for re-making political underdogs into upset winners.
His winning streak began in 1986, when he managed the gubernatorial victory of Robert Casey in Pennsylvania. In 1987, Carville helped guide Wallace Wilkinson to the governor’s seat in Kentucky. Carville continued his winning streak with a win in New Jersey with Frank Lautenberg elected to the US Senate. He next managed the successful 1990 gubernatorial campaign of Georgia’s Lieutenant Governor Zell Miller, including a tough primary win over Atlanta mayor Andrew Young, and in 1991, Carville – who had already become prominent in many political circles – drew national attention when he led Senator Harris Wofford from 40 points behind in the polls to an upset landslide victory over former Pennsylvania Governor and U.S. Attorney General Richard Thornburgh. But his most prominent victory was in 1992 when he helped William Jefferson Clinton win the Presidency.
In recent years, Carville has not been a paid political consultant for many domestic politicians or candidates, instead focusing on campaigns in more than 23 countries around the globe stretching from the continents of South America to Europe to Africa and most recently Asia.
James Carville is also a best-selling author, actor, producer, talk-show host, speaker and restaurateur. His titles include We're Still Right, They're Still Wrong: The Democrats' Case for 2016, Love & War: Twenty Years, Three Presidents, Two Daughters and One Louisiana Home; It’s The Middle Class Stupid!; All’s Fair: Love, War, and Running for President (with wife Mary Matalin); We’re Right, They’re Wrong: A Handbook for Spirited Progressives; And the Horse He Rode In On: The People vs. Kenneth Starr; Buck Up, Suck Up... and Come Back When You Foul Up; Had Enough? A Handbook for Fighting Back; Stickin’: The Case for Loyalty; his children’s book, Lu and the Swamp Ghost; and 2006’s Take it Back, 40 More Years: How the Democrats will Rule the Next Generation.
Along with pollster Stanley Greenberg, Carville founded Democracy Corps, an independent, non-profit polling organization dedicated to making government more responsive to the American people.
Carville also serves as a professor of Practice at Tulane University in New Orleans, where he lives with his wife Mary Matalin and their two daughters. Back To Top ^^
John Heilemann | John Heilemann has covered politics, business and their intersection for the past three decades in America and abroad. He is a co-founder of Recount Media and the editor-in-chief of The Recount, a new platform for short-form video covering politics. He is a co-host and executive producer of The Circus, the heralded weekly political documentary series now in its fifth season on Showtime. Heilemann is also national affairs analyst for NBC News and MSNBC, where he appears regularly on Morning Joe, The Last Word, Deadline: White House, The 11th Hour and other programs.
In addition to his work on television, Heilemann is an acclaimed writer who has co-authored two of the most successful and influential books in history on presidential politics: the New York Times No. 1 best sellers Game Change and Double Down, which are widely seen as the definitive accounts of the 2008 and 2012 elections, respectively. A runaway worldwide sensation, reprinted in nine languages, Game Change was adapted by HBO Films into a movie of the same name, which debuted in 2012 and went on to win five Emmy Awards, three Golden Globes, and a Peabody Award.
During the 2016 election season, Heilemann served as a managing editor of Bloomberg Politics and host of MSNBC and Bloomberg TV's daily political news and analysis program With All Due Respect. Prior to joining Bloomberg, he was New York magazine's national affairs editor and columnist, and before that a staff writer for The New Yorker, Wired, and The Economist, exploring the corridors of power from Washington to Wall Street to Silicon Valley. His magazine writing has also appeared in Vanity Fair, GQ, TIME, The New Republic, and The Washington Monthly, and been anthologized in The Best American Political Writing and The Best American Crime Writing. His first book, Pride Before The Fall: The Trials of Bill Gates and the End of the Microsoft Era, was named one of the best books of 2001 by BusinessWeek.
On television, Heilemann has provided political and cultural analysis on programs ranging from Face the Nation and This Week with George Stephanopoulos to Real Time with Bill Maher and The Sixties, The Seventies, The Eighties, The Nineties, and The 2000s on CNN. In 2008, he hosted Download, a four-part documentary on the rise of the Internet on Discovery Channel.
A graduate of Northwestern University and Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, Heilemann was born in Los Angeles and lives in Manhattan with his wife, Diana Rhoten, and their two Great Danes. Back To Top ^^
Dr. Frank L. Luntz | Frank Luntz is one of the most honored communication professionals in America today. Time magazine named him one of “50 of America’s most promising leaders aged 40 and under,” and Newsweek identified him as No. 24 on their Power Elite survey. In 2012, he finished 87th in a Time magazine global poll of the “most influential people in the world,” and was previous a winner of The Washington Post’s coveted “Crystal Ball” award for being the most accurate pundit. His focus groups have become so influential that presidential candidate Barack Obama had this to say following the PBS presidential debate: “When Frank Luntz invites you to talk to his focus group, you talk to his focus group.”
The “Instant Response” focus group technique pioneered by Frank has been profiled on 60 Minutes, Good Morning America (on Election Day), and on PBS’s award-winning Frontline. He has been a guest on virtually every talk show in America, including multiple appearances on The Daily Show and Real Time with Bill Maher, as well as Meet the Press, Nightline, The Today Show, The PBS News Hour, and Face the Nation.
Frank has worked for more than 50 Fortune 500 companies and CEOs, but he’s best known for political commentary. More media outlets have turned to Dr. Luntz to understand the hopes and fears of Americans than to any other political pollster. He appears regularly on HBO and Fox News, co-hosting several live hour-long prime time specials and dial sessions during the presidential debate. In both 2012 and 2016 elections, Frank was the only non-journalist invited to host a debate of the GOP presidential contenders. He also served as a consultant to the NBC hit show The West Wing.
Luntz was an Election Night commentator on CBS in 2016, having held similar responsibilities for Fox News and MSBC in previous elections. His reoccurring segments on MSNBC/CNBC, “100 Days, 1000 Voices” won the coveted Emmy Award in 2001. Frank has conducted focus group sessions for all three broadcast networks, two of the three cable news channels and PBS, as well as for The Wall Street Journal, The New Yorker, and The Times of London. He has worked in every British General Election from 1997 through 2015, and his polling on Brexit just days before the vote was the most accurate of any published poll.
Dr. Luntz has written, supervised, and conducted more than 2,500 surveys, focus groups, ad tests, and dial sessions in more than two dozen countries and six continents over the past 20 years. His political knowledge and skills are recognized globally, and he has served as an election consultant and commentator in Canada, Britain, Ireland, Germany, Austria, the Netherlands, Australia, Venezuela, and Ukraine.
Frank is the author of three New York Times Best Sellers. Words that Work: It’s Not What You Say it’s What People Hear, explores the art and science of language creation. His second book, What Americans Really Want … Really, addresses the private hopes, dreams and fears of the American people; it reached No. 18 on the bestseller list. His most recent book, WIN, reached No. 2 on Amazon and No. 3 on The New York Times Business Best Seller List in its first month in print. He has written about the power of language for The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Los Angeles Times, Financial Times, The Times of London, and The Washington Post. Most recently, he has authored several columns for Time.com.
He began his career an adjunct professor at the University of Pennsylvania. He has also taught courses at Harvard University and George Washington University. He is currently in year two of a five-year appointment by NYU Abu Dhabi. Frank graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with an honors Bachelor of Arts degree in history and political science. He received his Doctorate in Politics at the age of 25 from Oxford University. He spoke for 24 straight hours as part of the Oxford Union Society’s Guinness World Book of Records debate. In the spring of 1993, Frank was named a Fellow at Harvard University’s Institute of Politics, the second-youngest individual ever to receive this honor at that time. Back To Top ^^
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